Investment in Mexico’s Shale Plays Could Be Slowed by Security ConcernsSource: Shale World | 11 September 2014
With the world’s fourth largest shale reserves, Mexico is an attractive prospect for operators and investors hoping to extend the US shale boom south of the border. Geological risk in Mexico’s shale plays is relatively low because the geology is already proven. And now, foreign players are presented with real opportunities to participate as Mexico begins to define the legislation for landmark energy reform announced in 2013, which ended the state energy monopoly, allowing participation from foreign companies.
Despite the attractive opportunities and proven geology, shale gas operators may be reticent to proceed because of high levels of drug-related violence and alarmingly high murder rates in Mexico’s northern regions, which happen to offer some of the country’s most promising shale plays. The Tamaulipas state in particular is an attractive region for shale gas but has the highest number of homicides in Mexico. There have been a number of attacks on oil workers, and this risk could hamper future investment.
Dwight Dyer, a political risk analyst based in Mexico City, commented that “Shale will not take off in Mexico like it did in Texas in the near future. Unless the security situation along the northeastern border improves significantly, smaller companies will probably take their time before jumping in,” he said.