TOPICS OF INTEREST
PETROLEUM ECONOMICS/PRODUCTION FORECASTING
Shell Ships First LNG Cargo From Prelude
First cargo from the world’s largest floating LNG project comes in the midst of low LNG prices sparked by a global supply boost. Prelude is expected to produce 3.6 mtpa for Shell.
Tariffs Pack a Bigger Punch Than Tax Incentives
Louisiana state granted a tax incentive to LNG Ltd. for its Magnolia project in Lake Charles. Although a beneficial development, it’s a drop in the bucket in the company’s progress toward FID.
US Exceeds One-Year Mark as Natural Gas Exporter
An EIA report shows natural gas exports reaching 4.6 Bcf/D in February, the 13th consecutive month in which the country's natural gas exports exceeded its imports. Exports are projected to reach 7.5 Bcf/D by 2020.
Will LNG Drive Asia’s Sustainable Future?
Coal remains the biggest challenge to LNG in Asia.
US on Pace To Top Saudi’s Liquid Exports This Year
The shale revolution is leading the US into a unique position: a bigger exporter of crude and petroleum liquids than the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
How Many Export Terminals Does the US Need?
The new bottleneck for Texas’ crude production is not onshore—it is offshore. Shallow ports have kept big tankers from taking away the state’s expanding supply which has attracted a slew of proposed export projects.
Keep Your Eye on the Oil Price Ticker To Gauge 2019 Oilfield Services
The oilfield services sector showed steady revenue growth in 2018 thanks, in part, to increased project sanctioning. With the oil price falling $20 in the past 2 months, however, the future may be murkier than expected.
Sustained Subsea Hardware Investment Projected for Near Term
Westwood forecasts a recovery in the subsea market backed by a new wave of offshore investment. Subsea vessel operations and hardware expenditure are expected to total $152 billion from 2019 to 2023.
US To Become Third-Largest LNG Exporter in 2019
The US EIA projects LNG export capacity will rise to 8.9 Bcf/D by the end of next year, making the US the third-largest exporting country in the world behind Australia and Qatar.
FPSO Market Set To Rebound Over Next Three Years
A report from Rystad Energy shows a near-term boost in the global floating production market, with more than 30 new FPSO projects possibly reaching sanction from 2019 to 2021.
Equinor Submits Phase 2 Plan for Johan Sverdrup to Norway Regulator
Equinor submitted the development plan for Phase 2 of the Johan Sverdrup project on 27 August with an increased resource estimate and a cut of NOK 6 billion in investment costs.
UK E&P Activity Looks Promising for 2018, But Questions Remain
A new report from Oil & Gas UK explains how the UK North Sea is showing signs of life, but warns that new exploration investment will be necessary to avoid another production downturn.
Government, Industry, Consumers, and Arithmetic: How Will the Rise of Electric Vehicles Impact Oil Demand?
Even if EVs reach cost and performance parity with conventional combustion engines, a lot of questions remain about how long it will take for consumers to get comfortable that parity is real, and for manufacturers to turn over enough volume to make a big enough impact on the oil industry.
Oilfield Services Q3 Review: Promising Outlook After Tough Times
A rise in oil prices close to 3-year highs should further stimulate a recovering oilfield services and equipment sector, despite lower than expected late-2017 activity in US shale.
2018 Global Natural Gas Outlook
Natural gas is the only fossil fuel that will maintain its share in the energy mix of the coming decades, mainly supported by policies to reduce air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions.
2017 Energy Outlook
As the debate continues about oil prices and supply and demand, the SPE Production and Facilities technical director examines data published by various organizations on the short- and long-term industry outlook.
Book Summary and Commentary: The Price of Oil
In the Price of Oil, Roberto Aguilera and Marian Radetzki predict a dramatic increase in shale oil and other tight oil production from about 4 million BOPD today to as much as 40 million in 2035. This will have a limiting effect on oil price.
Iranian Oil and Gas Production Shows Significant Upside Potential, but Limitations Remain
Iran’s oil and gas sector has been significantly affected by the introduction and tightening of international sanctions in recent years. represents a significant step forward in terms of normalizing the country’s relations with the global community.
Hedgehogs vs. Foxes: Improving the Accuracy of Predictions
Can aggregative contingent estimation (ACE) improve the quality of oil price forecasts and even project performance? I have come to believe that oil price can be determined with reasonable confidence, and the key to such forecasting is ACE.
Oil at USD 20 per Barrel: Can It Be?
The oil price cannot be USD 20 for any long period because we cannot produce enough oil to feed the world at that price. But if the price of oil is based on supply and demand, how could it fall to USD 20 at any point in time?
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04 June 2019
ITEMS OF NOTE
07 August 2018
20 July 2018
16 February 2018
18 December 2017
28 November 2017